10/27/20 Election Update
DAILY SUMMARY of where the election stands (10/27/20). 7 days. Mixed results again, but overall, Biden lost a few notches in 3 swing states (up in 1) according to RCP, and down in betting markets and RCP averages. However, he is back up to where he was 2 days ago on 538 and increased his lead in Michigan. We've surpassed 66 million votes (or 49% of usual voters). Full lengthy summary with links in comments: PREDICTIONS - FiveThirtyEight gives Biden an 88% chance of winning (up 2 from yesterday) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ - RealClearPolitics betting markets 64.1% Biden to 35.0% Trump (down 1.8% from yesterday) https://www.realclearpolitics.com/.../bet.../2020_president/ - RealClearPolitics has Biden up 7.4 (down 0.5%) https://www.realclearpolitics.com/.../general_election ... ELECTORAL VOTE PREDICTIONS - FiveThirtyEight "no tossup" EV count: 344 Biden (up 2) to 194 Trump (under "how the forecast has changed) https://projects.fiveth